Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.087789 0.097817 0.108141 0.119535 0.131730 0.144366 0.158421
2025-01-05 0.071358 0.086365 0.102660 0.121539 0.142686 0.165519 0.191916
2025-01-12 0.059400 0.077525 0.098160 0.123081 0.152052 0.184375 0.222863
2025-01-19 0.049935 0.069937 0.093718 0.123507 0.159254 0.200230 0.250202
2025-01-26 0.046777 0.069270 0.096929 0.132537 0.176270 0.227381 0.290763
2025-02-02 0.041168 0.064713 0.094706 0.134418 0.184334 0.243788 0.318717
2025-02-09 0.036956 0.061414 0.093595 0.137282 0.193315 0.261148 0.347812
2025-02-16 0.032267 0.056882 0.090384 0.137032 0.198082 0.273174 0.370386
2025-02-23 0.030845 0.056795 0.092987 0.144300 0.212402 0.297092 0.407717
2025-03-02 0.029124 0.056045 0.094521 0.150043 0.224740 0.318609 0.442273
2025-03-09 0.025195 0.051487 0.090316 0.147663 0.226179 0.326176 0.459334
2025-03-16 0.021406 0.046700 0.085387 0.143919 0.225505 0.330818 0.472569
2025-03-23 0.019970 0.045781 0.086299 0.148687 0.236769 0.351556 0.507222
2025-03-30 0.018311 0.044322 0.086317 0.152192 0.246451 0.370502 0.540031
2025-04-06 0.016537 0.042445 0.085538 0.154452 0.254417 0.387296 0.570298
2025-04-13 0.014639 0.040084 0.083793 0.155130 0.260097 0.401064 0.596749
2025-04-20 0.014796 0.041699 0.088572 0.165752 0.280012 0.434129 0.648785
2025-04-27 0.013427 0.040102 0.087901 0.167974 0.287926 0.451084 0.679787
2025-05-04 0.012380 0.039021 0.087998 0.171322 0.297457 0.470289 0.713909
2025-05-11 0.010879 0.036748 0.085865 0.171036 0.301620 0.482148 0.738322
2025-05-18 0.010774 0.037572 0.089201 0.179495 0.318714 0.511931 0.786914
2025-05-25 0.010424 0.037780 0.091415 0.186166 0.333225 0.538257 0.831050
2025-06-01 0.008903 0.034967 0.087929 0.183404 0.333549 0.544775 0.848436